Archive for September, 2009

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Is InsideSFRealEstate Dead?

September 18, 2009

The answer to that question is an emphatic NO.  We are simply slammed right now.  No spare time to comment on the market, but we assure you that when we come up for air, we’ll have plenty to talk about.  Till then, it’s nose to the grindstone.  Thanks for hanging in there.

-The Editors

Please bear with us while we get our noses get grinded to to a nub.

Please bear with us while we get our noses get grinded to to a nub.

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Getting Granular in Excelsior

September 3, 2009

After writing “Getting Granular in Noe Valley” a couple days ago [which has received tons of hits], we figured it would make for a nice contrast to take a swing at Excelsior.  Located just south of I-280, the nabe is home to many interesting people and houses.  Jerry Garcia even once called the Excelsior home.

Excelsior street signs - Photos by Jef Poskanzer

Excelsior street signs - Photos by Jef Poskanzer

Like Noe Valley, the neighborhood has posted a generous amount of sales in 2009, making it a good candidate for a trending analysis.  And since it’s significantly different than Noe, it will be a fun little exercise.

Single family home medians (click to enlarge)

Single family home medians (click to enlarge)

  • The first thing I notice from this chart is how much smoother the line is compared to Noe’s, indicating that Excelsior may not be as sensitive to short-term perturbations in the market as Noe.
  • Prices have fallen 32.34% from peak (in inflation adjusted terms), compared to Noe’s 22.05%. Read the rest of this entry ?
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Getting Granular in Noe Valley

September 1, 2009

Noe Valley - courtesy of Wikimedia

Looking down towards Noe Valley - courtesy of Wikimedia

In Noe Valley there have been 85 single family home sales recorded in MLS for 2009.  You know what that means!  Time for a trending analysis, as we have a nice long string of sales for the year.  What did we look at?

We calculated the median sales price for single family homes in Noe for the period of January 1 through September 1 of each year dating back to 1995.  A trend became clear after plotting the values on a graph.  But what about inflation?  We added a second line to show what median values look like over the same time period when inflation is accounted for.  The results?

Noe Valley SFH Trends (click to enlarge)

Noe Valley SFH Trends (click to enlarge)

  • In inflation-adjusted terms, Noe’s 2009 median is somewhere between 2003 and 2004.
  • Values have come down 22.05% from peak. Read the rest of this entry ?
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